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Investment Strategies for Rising Interest Rates

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Investment Strategies for Rising Interest Rates
Investing today means navigating a changing market: interest rates are rising and stocks and bonds are volatile. After a long period of low rates, inflation pushed the Federal Reserve to raise rates, which affects mortgages, car loans, credit cards, bond yields, and cash returns. That shift makes some previously overlooked options—like cash and short-term debt—more attractive.

Cash and cash equivalents can be a smart choice in a high-rate environment. They let you lock in higher returns with little risk to principal and serve well as emergency funds or a stabilizing portion of a diversified portfolio. Typical options include high-yield savings accounts, money market funds, short-term certificates of deposit (CDs), and Treasury bills.

Short-term debt funds and short-term bond funds invest in bonds with maturities generally under three years. They tend to be less sensitive to rate changes than longer-term bonds and can provide rising cash flow as rates increase. While principal values may fluctuate slightly with rate movements, these funds are a practical way to capture higher yields with lower interest-rate risk.

Banks and other financial companies often benefit from higher interest rates. They borrow at lower rates from depositors and lend at higher rates to borrowers, widening their profit margins as rates rise. Investing in financial stocks offers a way to gain from rising bank profits, though returns will still depend on each firm’s management and loan performance.

Floating-rate bonds and funds have coupons that reset periodically, usually tied to a short-term benchmark. Their yields can increase with rising rates, making them useful when you expect rates to keep climbing. The trade-off is that their income falls quickly when rates drop, so they may be best for shorter-term use while rates are rising.

Very short-duration funds hold bonds with very short maturities, so their cash flows respond quickly to rate changes. As rates go up, these funds can reinvest in higher-yielding short-term bonds and boost investor income.

Treasury bills are short-term U.S. government securities maturing in days to one year. They’re sold at a discount and are backed by the government, making them among the safest investments. Because they’re short-term, you can keep buying new issues at prevailing higher rates. Interest from T-bills is exempt from state and local taxes.

High-yield savings accounts and CDs are worth shopping around for. Online banks often offer higher rates due to lower overhead, and some banks provide transfer bonuses for moving savings in. Savings rates typically rise with market rates, and locking money in a short-term CD can offer a higher yield if you don’t need immediate access.

TIPS (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities) and I Bonds protect against inflation. TIPS adjust their principal with inflation, so interest payments reflect that adjusted principal. I Bonds combine a fixed rate with a semiannual inflation rate adjustment. Both are bought through the TreasuryDirect website, though I Bonds have an annual purchase limit per person.

Diversification remains the most reliable way to manage risk: different assets perform differently over time, so a mix smooths out volatility. Rising rates highlight the value of holding cash and short-term bonds as part of a balanced allocation. To protect your portfolio, set an allocation that matches your goals and risk tolerance, and rebalance when allocations drift.

Remember the basic bond rule: bond prices move inversely to interest rates. Duration measures a bond’s sensitivity to rate changes—roughly, a bond with a duration of five years may fall about 5% if rates rise 1%, and vice versa. In a rising-rate environment, shorter maturities and durations help reduce price declines and increase current income.

Rising rates generally benefit savers and those holding cash, short-term debt, and financial-sector investments, while long-term bonds tend to lose value as rates climb. Investing always carries risk, so do your research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making decisions.